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From what threshold does free shipping pay off?

Free shipping is the strongest conversion tool in e-commerce — and the fastest way to kill your margin when the threshold is set wrong. The calculator finds a safe threshold and the net profit impact from your own numbers.

function Threshold = AOV + shipping ÷ margin
speed Instant calculation

How it works

Why this formula?

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Basket-building covers the shipping

A customer with a cart below the threshold tops it up to qualify for free shipping. The extra margin from the top-up — (threshold − AOV) × margin — has to cover the shipping the store absorbs. That is exactly where the threshold formula comes from.

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Conversion uplift is the other side of the equation

Free shipping reduces cart abandonment — unexpected shipping costs are consistently the most common abandonment reason (Baymard Institute). The calculator therefore also computes the net monthly impact at your chosen uplift.

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Cheaper shipping = lower threshold

The less you pay the carrier, the lower the threshold you can afford — and the more orders qualify for it. Multi-carrier platforms cut shipping costs by 20–60% versus list prices.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

How is the free shipping threshold calculated?

The core formula: threshold = average order value (AOV) + shipping cost ÷ margin. A customer who tops up their cart to the threshold covers the absorbed shipping with the extra margin. With an AOV of €40, a 35% margin and €4 shipping, the threshold comes out at ~€52.

How much does free shipping increase conversion?

E-commerce conversion studies typically report +10–20% more orders after introducing free shipping above a threshold. The exact number depends on your product mix and competitors — which is why the calculator takes it as an input and also shows the break-even value.

Why round the threshold up?

A threshold below the break-even value means the absorbed shipping outweighs the extra margin — the store loses money on free shipping. Rounding up to a €5 step keeps the offer marketable and the threshold on the safe side.

How do I lower my shipping cost so the threshold can be lower?

The fastest lever is cheaper shipping: a multi-carrier platform such as Sendcloud gives smaller stores volume rates 20–60% below list prices. Lower shipping cost = lower threshold = more qualifying orders.

Quick facts

Free shipping threshold for online stores

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Summary

The free shipping threshold is calculated as: threshold = AOV + shipping cost ÷ margin. For a typical EU online store (AOV €40, 35% margin, €4 shipping) the recommended threshold is ~€52–55. Free shipping typically increases order volume by 10–20%; it pays off when the extra margin from new orders exceeds the absorbed shipping cost of qualifying orders (~35% of carts).

Threshold formula
AOV + shipping ÷ margin
Typical threshold (AOV €40)
~€52–55
Typical conversion uplift
+10–20%
Qualifying orders
~35% of carts